Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 1516.437267 1661.097097 1808.510722 1969.690776 2140.682929 2316.401227 2510.346947
2025-04-06 1277.416587 1489.911725 1715.637364 1972.140437 2254.396800 2554.423704 2896.337714
2025-04-13 1081.891289 1326.731509 1595.442460 1909.894821 2265.426911 2652.676916 3104.058077
2025-04-20 1009.259417 1287.304767 1600.263713 1974.724936 2406.691163 2885.609908 3452.907485
2025-04-27 934.650707 1236.297436 1583.754067 2007.862983 2505.840915 3066.515349 3739.891892
2025-05-04 853.409325 1169.701284 1542.257949 2005.700577 2558.952485 3190.777139 3959.225184
2025-05-11 776.931688 1102.553366 1494.478909 1990.878844 2592.746614 3289.192289 4146.058734
2025-05-18 723.649679 1060.023396 1472.868588 2004.205087 2657.262654 3421.608673 4371.372436
2025-05-25 665.385529 1006.895813 1434.437081 1993.576108 2690.113444 3514.489924 4548.723257
2025-06-01 627.890661 978.156860 1424.418637 2016.256392 2762.129669 3653.342243 4780.550158
2025-06-08 577.514994 928.868063 1385.149117 1999.431930 2783.191458 3729.105692 4935.701623
2025-06-15 556.840970 918.604695 1395.522016 2045.123932 2881.839161 3899.413154 5205.791332
2025-06-22 523.192253 888.931749 1379.530123 2056.719905 2938.357215 4019.788490 5418.128232
2025-06-29 488.580969 855.849522 1357.342554 2058.958636 2982.246056 4124.448583 5611.849005
2025-07-06 433.923151 790.080471 1287.375191 1994.798283 2938.007469 4116.946218 5665.292058
2025-07-13 427.083622 794.894927 1314.950064 2061.625595 3064.373719 4324.805352 5987.832622
2025-07-20 410.321885 783.511020 1318.895838 2095.776880 3147.685119 4478.356558 6243.204444
2025-07-27 383.616733 755.085982 1297.180979 2093.548510 3182.078270 4569.143653 6419.695153
2025-08-03 355.073148 721.934316 1267.066993 2078.274064 3197.988421 4635.515737 6565.017996
2025-08-10 336.669876 703.948001 1258.201830 2092.007388 3252.387887 4751.438175 6773.613856
2025-08-17 312.917872 675.633017 1232.702519 2081.053789 3272.507391 4822.354864 6924.609856
2025-08-24 299.542808 663.912569 1231.526608 2104.426126 3339.264828 4954.305052 7154.482112
2025-08-31 277.035490 635.048653 1202.941183 2087.088518 3349.206908 5011.112038 7287.270044